BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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UNC Wilmington

Class: 1 Class Rank: 319 Overall: (7-24) Overall Strength =   17.55
Conference: Colonial Record: (3-15) | District: 1-02 Record: (6-22)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  22.16  63  82    1 118 (22-10) East Carolina           4.66    -23.66                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    W   *  30.70  78  68    1 312 ( 9-20) NC Central             13.19     -3.19                      
 3 11-12-2025 Home    L   *  10.25  56  80    1 136 (14-18) Coastal Car            -7.26    -16.74                      
 4 11-19-2025 Away    L   *   9.85  56  65    1 327 (12-19) Gardner Webb           -7.66     -1.34                      
 5 11-21-2025 Home    W   *  19.47  75  55    1 358 ( 3-27) Presbyterian            1.97     18.03                      
 6 11-30-2025 Home    W   *  22.72  69  59    1 326 (10-20) Queens NC               5.21      4.79                      
 7 12-03-2025 Away    L      10.34  63  83   ZZ  10 (18-13) West Georgia           -7.16    -12.84                      
 8 12-07-2025 Away    L   *  12.84  68  78    1 306 (15-17) Winthrop               -4.67     -5.33                      
 9 12-17-2025 Away    L      16.39  34  84    1  16 (28- 8) North Carolina         -1.12 *  -48.88                      
10 12-21-2025 Away    L   *   6.23  72  98    1 207 (21-10) Longwood              -11.27    -14.73                      
11 12-29-2025 Home    W      17.51  76  37   ZZ 190 ( 0- 1) Columbia Intl          -0.00 *   39.00                      
12 01-02-2026 Home    W * *  20.83  69  67    1 297 ( 7-22) Northeastern            3.33     -1.33                      
13 01-04-2026 Home    L * *  14.20  46  54    1 264 (11-22) Hofstra                -3.31     -4.69                      
14 01-09-2026 Away    L * *  30.29  50  52    1 205 (21-12) Monmouth NJ            12.78    -14.78                      
15 01-11-2026 Away    L * *  20.93  68  79    1 235 (17-14) Towson                  3.42    -14.42                      
16 01-16-2026 Home    L * *  16.50  62  72    1 231 (16-16) Elon                   -1.01     -8.99                      
17 01-18-2026 Home    L * *  21.62  67  76    1 182 (21-11) Drexel                  4.11    -13.11                      
18 01-23-2026 Home    L * *   3.59  37  71    1 104 (27- 6) Col Charleston        -13.92    -20.08                      
19 01-27-2026 Away    L   *  25.95  61  67 1  1 222 (20-12) Campbell                8.44    -14.44                      
20 01-30-2026 Home    L * *   5.77  48  60    1 304 (10-21) Hampton               -11.74     -0.26                      
21 02-01-2026 Away    L * *  20.50  68  79    1 229 (17-14) William & Mary          2.99    -13.99                      
22 02-06-2026 Away    L * *  22.96  61  81    1 104 (27- 6) Col Charleston          5.46    -25.46                      
23 02-13-2026 Home    W * *  28.67  69  64    1 262 (12-18) NC A&T                 11.16     -6.16                      
24 02-15-2026 Home    L   *  24.57  52  54    1 222 (20-12) Campbell                7.07     -9.07                      
25 02-20-2026 Away    L * *  24.15  55  60    1 252 (18-15) Stony Brook             6.64    -11.64                      
26 02-22-2026 Away    L * *  -4.43  43  75    1 264 (11-22) Hofstra               -21.93    -10.07                      
27 03-01-2026 Home    L * *   7.12  41  60    1 229 (17-14) William & Mary        -10.38     -8.62                      
28 03-05-2026 Away    L * *  20.04  46  55    1 262 (12-18) NC A&T                  2.53    -11.53                      
29 03-07-2026 Away    L * *  19.87  54  66    1 231 (16-16) Elon                    2.36    -14.36                      
30 03-11-2026 Neutral W * *  22.52  51  50    1 297 ( 7-22) Northeastern            5.01     -4.01                      
31 03-12-2026 Neutral L * *  18.60  61  72    1 205 (21-12) Monmouth NJ             1.10    -12.10                      
      Averages              17.51  58.7 67.8

Best game:   30.70 = 10 point win over NC Central
Worst game:  -4.43 = 32 point loss to Hofstra
Team stdev:   8.25