BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

UNC Wilmington

Class: 1 Class Rank: 319 Overall: (7-24) Overall Strength =   17.54
Conference: Colonial Record: (3-15) | District: 1-02 Record: (6-22)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  22.18  63  82    1 118 (22-10) East Carolina           4.67    -23.67                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    W   *  30.70  78  68    1 312 ( 9-20) NC Central             13.20     -3.20                      
 3 11-12-2025 Home    L   *  10.18  56  80    1 136 (14-18) Coastal Car            -7.33    -16.67                      
 4 11-19-2025 Away    L   *   9.84  56  65    1 327 (12-19) Gardner Webb           -7.67     -1.33                      
 5 11-21-2025 Home    W   *  19.47  75  55    1 358 ( 3-27) Presbyterian            1.96     18.04                      
 6 11-30-2025 Home    W   *  22.73  69  59    1 326 (10-20) Queens NC               5.23      4.77                      
 7 12-03-2025 Away    L      10.34  63  83   ZZ  10 (18-13) West Georgia           -7.17    -12.83                      
 8 12-07-2025 Away    L   *  12.85  68  78    1 306 (15-17) Winthrop               -4.66     -5.34                      
 9 12-17-2025 Away    L      16.37  34  84    1  16 (28- 8) North Carolina         -1.13 *  -48.87                      
10 12-21-2025 Away    L   *   6.23  72  98    1 207 (21-10) Longwood              -11.28    -14.72                      
11 12-29-2025 Home    W      17.51  76  37   ZZ 190 ( 0- 1) Columbia Intl          -0.00 *   39.00                      
12 01-02-2026 Home    W * *  20.84  69  67    1 297 ( 7-22) Northeastern            3.34     -1.34                      
13 01-04-2026 Home    L * *  14.21  46  54    1 264 (11-22) Hofstra                -3.30     -4.70                      
14 01-09-2026 Away    L * *  30.29  50  52    1 205 (21-12) Monmouth NJ            12.78    -14.78                      
15 01-11-2026 Away    L * *  20.93  68  79    1 235 (17-14) Towson                  3.42    -14.42                      
16 01-16-2026 Home    L * *  16.50  62  72    1 231 (16-16) Elon                   -1.00     -9.00                      
17 01-18-2026 Home    L * *  21.62  67  76    1 182 (21-11) Drexel                  4.12    -13.12                      
18 01-23-2026 Home    L * *   3.59  37  71    1 105 (27- 6) Col Charleston        -13.91    -20.09                      
19 01-27-2026 Away    L   *  25.94  61  67 1  1 222 (20-12) Campbell                8.44    -14.44                      
20 01-30-2026 Home    L * *   5.77  48  60    1 304 (10-21) Hampton               -11.73     -0.27                      
21 02-01-2026 Away    L * *  20.49  68  79    1 229 (17-14) William & Mary          2.99    -13.99                      
22 02-06-2026 Away    L * *  22.96  61  81    1 105 (27- 6) Col Charleston          5.45    -25.45                      
23 02-13-2026 Home    W * *  28.67  69  64    1 262 (12-18) NC A&T                 11.16     -6.16                      
24 02-15-2026 Home    L   *  24.58  52  54    1 222 (20-12) Campbell                7.07     -9.07                      
25 02-20-2026 Away    L * *  24.15  55  60    1 252 (18-15) Stony Brook             6.64    -11.64                      
26 02-22-2026 Away    L * *  -4.43  43  75    1 264 (11-22) Hofstra               -21.93    -10.07                      
27 03-01-2026 Home    L * *   7.13  41  60    1 229 (17-14) William & Mary        -10.38     -8.62                      
28 03-05-2026 Away    L * *  20.04  46  55    1 262 (12-18) NC A&T                  2.53    -11.53                      
29 03-07-2026 Away    L * *  19.87  54  66    1 231 (16-16) Elon                    2.37    -14.37                      
30 03-11-2026 Neutral W * *  22.52  51  50    1 297 ( 7-22) Northeastern            5.02     -4.02                      
31 03-12-2026 Neutral L * *  18.60  61  72    1 205 (21-12) Monmouth NJ             1.10    -12.10                      
      Averages              17.51  58.7 67.8

Best game:   30.70 = 10 point win over NC Central
Worst game:  -4.43 = 32 point loss to Hofstra
Team stdev:   8.25